Over the weekend, the situation in Egypt has become ever more critical. The
most sustained protests since President Mubarak was ousted in February. 13
people died and hundreds were injured in clashes between security forces and
protesters, back in Tahrir Square.
The
protesters are concerned that the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces, Egypt's
interim government, is dragging its feet on elections and trying to cement its
own position. This weekend's deaths seem certain to prolong the protests and
lead to another occupation of Tahrir Square.
Before
this, the military has put nearly 12,000 Egyptians in front of military
tribunals, has been making policy on the hoof and is sticking to a plan to hold
presidential elections a whole year from now. The military already stands
accused of the deaths of 27 protesters in clashes with mostly Coptic Christians
last month. Most prominently, bloggers and activists who the military have
tried to silence through their tribunals have gone on hunger strikes. There are
appalling stories of prisoner abuse in Egyptian jails, with one prisoner killed
- allegedly tortured - after trying to smuggle a SIM card in.
Elections
are due to take place next week. But the military hasn't yet confirmed any date
for the transfer of power to civilians. Until they do, the elections will be
unempowered. There is a political vaccum, and some analysts suggest the only
choice is between the Muslim Brotherhood and the Army.
Inevitably, the UK's Arab Spring
focus has been on Libya. It's a hard balance for Western countries to encourage
indigenous revolution rather than be seen to dictate ourselves. But we should
surely be making it clear to Egypt's military rulers that they need to reassure
Egyptians that they are there only on an interim basis, that civilian rule will
follow swiftly, and to reject autocratic military tribunals that are bringing
Egyptians onto the streets again. Perhaps the best hope is for Egypt's
neighbour Tunisia to keep influencing change in Egypt. Tunisia's elections were
swift, peaceful and effective. Egyptians deserve the same.
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